Tuesday 3/1/11 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
Good luck on all your plays.

When not viewing the service plays.
Make sure to enjoy the rest of what the RX has to offer.

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[savage1]

Since the discussion about NC which ensued yesterday apparently has been deleted(unless perhaps I am not looking in the right section), I just want to add one moe comment-this furthers my argument about NC being deceptive and also gives you an idea of what I have been posting/documenting for over five years at the other forum:

Comps. win for a change(8 days since both comps. won) and the asshole glorifies them like they are something special-they are still 19 games UNDER 500 for the season at 79-98-3.
They have still buried folks to the tune of 85K over the last three years.
Now get this-they ALWAYS mention Billy Coleman on either ext. 9 or ext. 4.
However, as they did with SPRITEzer yesterday( who was coming off an 0-5 day), the banished him to the ext. 6 ext. which virtually no one listens to as there is no comp.-the reason they did this is because Coleman lost his 5* yesterday on Phoenix. This is the way these folks operate -pure deception and self-serving marketing!
The first comp. on ext. 9 is a 3* from Young Guns on OVER Golden State.
The other comp. is a 3* from MasterBATE Sports on Boston College.​

 

[dough]

2 plays 2-day from system lower ranked team giving higher ranked team points (1-1 sun)

kentucky
nebraska(providing they stay the favorite)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatSystems Sports NBA Report, Tuesday 3/1/11
<hr style="color: rgb(209, 209, 225); background-color: rgb(209, 209, 225);" size="1"> STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 3/1/11
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
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***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA *****
__________________________________________________ _

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Each day here in our Stat/Systems Report we will list the Top - Angles, Stats and Situational Trends for up-coming games, including all the Key - ATS, Over/Unders, Money-Line, First Half ATS Top Trends including Over/Unders, Coaches ATS & Over/Unders and Teaser Line Trends, along with all your high percentage Super Situation Systems.
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••• MAGIC LOOK TO 'WALK THE 'WALK! •••
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The Knicks love when everyone writes them off against quality opponents. And why shouldn’t they? Even rebuilt, the team just lost to the lowly Cleveland Cavaliers. But when the chips are down against a contender, there aren’t many teams better than New York. The team from Manhattan is a sparkling 6-2-1 ATS as an underdog of seven points or more this season. Most recently, the Knicks stunned the basketball world with a 91-86 win over the Heat. Miami entered the game as a 10-point favorite. "The bigger the game, the bigger the stage, the bigger they play," Knicks coach Mike D'Antoni said.

Orlando, however, often shrinks from the spotlight. The Magic are just 14-12 ATS this season as favorites of seven or more points and often fail to focus against lesser teams. Orlando is coming off consecutive straight up and against the spread wins versus Charlotte and Oklahoma City, but lost to the Kings in Florida last week by six. "We've been talking for a long time, all we seem to do is talk," Magic center Dwight Howard said. "You guys know what the difference is. You watch the games. If guys don't want to play, they need to sit down. We can't just have guys or anybody out there not playing hard.

Stat/Systems Sports is renowned for providing the most comprehensive game information on the Internet to date. Our popular Stat/Sheets, along with our daily Stat/Systems Reports are packed with proprietary handicapping tools that benefit everyone from the beginning bettor to the most advanced self-handicapper. “Providing Unprecedented Handicapping Content is what Stat/Systems Sports is all about. So make Sure you have the Advantage you need to win this Season!

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NOTE: All New Website Coming Soon!
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***** TUESDAY, MARCH 1ST NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
-----------------
-- Orlando won/covered six of its last eight games. Knicks won four of their last five games.
-- 76ers won six of their last seven games.
-- Mavericks won their last six games (5-1 vs spread).
-- Lakers won/covered their last four games.
-- Grizzlies won 11 of their last 15 games. Spurs won five of six.
-- Rockets won five of their last six games. Portland won seven of nine.

• COLD TEAMS
-------------------
-- New Orleans lost eight of its last eleven games. Raptors lost seven of their last nine.
-- Warriors lost their last three games, by 22-16-3 points. Pacers are 1-3 in their last four home games (0-4 vs spread).
-- Minnesota lost seven of its last eight games.
-- Milwaukee lost 10 of its last 13 games. Pistons lost six of their last eight games.

• BACK-TO-BACK
---------------------
-- None

• TOTALS
------------
-- Six of last eight New York road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine New Orleans road games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Dallas road games.
-- Five of last six Indiana home games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Laker road games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Memphis home games went over total; keep in mind that Spurs' PG Parker is out with an injury.
-- Four of last five Detroit road games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Portland home games went over the total.

• KEY TRENDS
------------------
-- Golden State has played under the total in nine of its last 12 games and is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 meetings with Indiana. The Warriors are pegged as 6-point underdogs for Tuesday’ matchup.
-- New Orleans has covered the number in just three of the club’s last games.
-- Dallas has played over in 13 of its last 16 games and has covered in six of its last seven overall.
-- Orlando has played under in nine of its last 10. The Magic are set as a 7-point home favorite against New York on Tuesday with the total pegged at 213.

• QUICK HITS
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-- NEW YORK @ ORLANDO, 7:00 PM ET NEW YORK: 4-14 ATS in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent. ORLANDO: 38-21 ATS off a home win.
-- NEW ORLEANS @ TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET NEW ORLEANS: 12-27 ATS off a home loss. TORONTO: 49-79 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent.
-- DALLAS @ PHILADELPHIA, 7:00 PM ET DALLAS: 8-19 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. PHILADELPHIA: 13-5 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent.
-- GOLDEN STATE @ INDIANA, 7:00 PM ET GOLDEN STATE: 21-7 ATS after allowing 120 points or more. INDIANA: 18-30 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent.
-- LA LAKERS @ MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET LA LAKERS: 1-8 ATS after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread. MINNESOTA: 8-21 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins.
-- SAN ANTONIO @ MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET SAN ANTONIO: 19-9 ATS in road games. MEMPHIS: 13-5 ATS off a road loss.
-- DETROIT @ MILWAUKEE, 8:00 PM ET DETROIT: 7-2 ATS after scoring 110 points or more. MILWAUKEE: 2-8 ATS after allowing 85 points or less.
-- HOUSTON @ PORTLAND, 10:00 PM ET HOUSTON: 9-2 ATS after a division game. PORTLAND: 1-5 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.
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Stan 'The Man Szumera continues to make history as one of the Nation's Top Sports Gaming Analysts of all time. The Man's reputation as the ultimate Sports Insider expands by the year. His coveted early NCAA College Basketball, along with his National Basketball Association Selections have literally move the number as soon as they're released and there are few analysts in this business today who can equal his big play record over the years.
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••• NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION RECORDS IN MARCH •••
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While the college game has its bout of Madness in March, the NBA also gets a bit crazy as teams fight for playoff spots during the final six weeks of the season. To uncover recent monthly trends, we compiled all ATS records each month starting in the 2006-07 season. Below is what we found for all NBA teams in March, and what results you can expect to happen this March based on the upcoming schedule.

• BEST ATS RECORDS IN MARCH (2007-2010)
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--Charlotte 66% (40-21)
--Golden State 61% (38-24)
--Boston 60% (37-25)
--Orlando 59% (32-22)
--Miami 57% (35-26)
--Portland 57% (33-25)

* CHARLOTTE is your leader in March by winning at least 63% of its March games in all four seasons of our study. Don’t expect this trend to stop this March. Despite the Bobcats being a young team, they are a horrendous 5-12 ATS (29%) with zero days rest, but 16-10 ATS (62%) with one day off. In March, Charlotte only has three back-to-back games and nine contests after one day of rest. However, the Bobcats are also facing five of the eight best teams in the NBA this March (San Antonio, Boston, Chicago, L.A. Lakers and Oklahoma City).

* GOLDEN STATE'S ATS mark here is skewed by its incredible 11-3 ATS in March 2007, but the Warriors have still not had a losing March in the past four years. But this season, Golden State will spend most of its March on the road, as they started a seven-game road trip on Feb. 27 and will play four straight road games in a six-day span from March 18-23. In total, March will consist of five home games and 13 road outings. The Warriors are 14-12 ATS away from home this season, so it could be a good month for them again.

* BOSTON was 22-9 ATS in March of 2007 and 2008 combined, but is just 15-16 ATS in March in the past two seasons. Looking ahead to this March, the Celtics have quite an easy schedule, featuring 10-of-16 opponents with losing records on the year. They only play two games against the Top 12 records in the NBA (#1 San Antonio and #10 New Orleans). The veteran Boston club is a brutal 3-10 ATS in the second half of back-to-back games, but it will only play three such games in March.

• WORST ATS RECORDS IN MARCH (2007-2010)
----------------------------------------
--L.A. Lakers 36% (21-37)
--Minnesota 37% (21-36)
--Milwaukee 37% (20-34)
--Toronto 39% (23-36)
--L.A. Clippers 44% (27-35)
--Washington 44% (27-35)
--New Jersey 44% (27-34)

* LOS ANGELES LAKERS have four straight losing ATS records in March. They were 2-11 ATS in March 2007, so they have been more respectable in the past three years at 19-26 ATS. Los Angeles will play five of its first six March games on the road, but will end the month with a seven-game homestand. The Lakers are 12-17 ATS (41%) at home and 17-15 ATS (53%) on the road, so the homestand might not work in their favor.

* MINNESOTA hasn’t had much recent monthly success, with winning ATS marks in just 6-of-24 months in our study. The Timberwolves have gone 3-10, 6-8, 7-10 and 5-8 ATS in the past four months of March. Minnesota is coming off a 4-9 ATS record in February and this March will also be quite a challenge with six games against the top six teams in the NBA (2 vs. Lakers, 2 vs. Mavericks, 1 vs. Celtics, 1 vs. Bulls). Also, nine of the 15 games will be against West teams, and the Wolves are a dreadful 14-24 ATS (37%) when playing conference games this season. Feels like another losing month for Minnesota.

* MILWAUKEE actually had a great ATS record last March at 9-5, but it was an appalling 11-29 ATS (28%) in the month from 2007-2009. The Bucks have been a great bet against East teams this year (18-12 ATS, 60%), but horrible versus the West (9-18 ATS, 33%). Luckily for them, this March features 14 of 16 games against teams from their own Eastern Conference, so Milwaukee is certainly ready for March to roar in!

*** OTHER ATS RECORDS IN MARCH (2007-2010) ***
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• 50% OR BETTER ATS RECORDS
---------------------------
--Phoenix 55% (32-26)
--Atlanta 55% (35-29)
--Houston 54% (33-28)
--Denver 52% (32-29)
--Indiana 52% (29-27)
--Memphis 52% (30-28)
--Cleveland 52% (32-30)
--San Antonio 52% (34-32)
--Philadelphia 51% (30-29)
--New Orleans 50% (31-31)
--Oklahoma City 50% (29-29)

• LOSING ATS RECORDS
--------------------
--Chicago 49% (29-30)
--Sacramento 48% (27-29)
--Utah 48% (30-33)
--Detroit 47% (30-34)
--Dallas 47% (28-32)
--New York 45% (26-32)
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• NOTES & TIPS
--------------
--Milwaukee center Andrew Bogut left Monday’s practice early telling the media he “can’t comment” on the reason for his early exit. Bogut is already dealing with a sore left elbow and coach Scott Skiles said later that the big Aussie may be also dealing with a left ribcage injury. His status is now in question for Tuesday’s game against Detroit. Bogut is averaging 12.6 points and 11.5 rebounds per game.

--The Wizards have reached a buyout agreement with point guard Mike Bibby. Bibby's agent, David Falk, met with Washington Wizards President Ernie Grunfeld on Monday at Verizon Center to get the deal finalized. The terms have not been disclosed, but a person with knowledge of the situation said Bibby sacrificed a "substantial" amount of money for his freedom. Another source said that Bibby surrendered his entire $6.2 million salary next season. Bibby will receive the remainder of his $5.7 million salary this season and has a chance to make more, should he sign a prorated minimum deal with his next team. Grunfeld said in a press release that the buyout "gives us increased financial flexibility and opens up more opportunities for us to develop and evaluate younger players." Bibby has earned well over $100 million over his 13-year career, so he decided to leave some money on the table to win.

But Bibby might not be making too much of a risk since the owners are expected to lock out the players when the collective bargaining agreement expires on June 30. A league source said that Falk is currently looking for a possible destination for Bibby. Portland, Miami, Boston, San Antonio, the Los Angeles Lakers and possibly Denver are believed to have interest in the 32-year-old Bibby, whom the Wizards acquired from Atlanta in a trade involving Kirk Hinrich. Bibby, who has made the playoffs in each of the past nine seasons, was upset about being dealt from a contender and had little interest in finishing his career with a lottery team. He scored two points on 1-of-9 shooting with eight assists in two games. A person close to Bibby said he considered several options, including retirement, after he was traded. He settled for a buyout that allows him to join another contending team.

--San Antonio has nimbly skated through any major injury problems all season long. The Spurs’ health has been one of the biggest factors of the Spurs’ NBA-best start. It enabled them to use the same starting lineup for the first 53 games of the season. It appeared that luck vaporized in about 30 minutes Sunday night against Memphis. Tony Parker went down with a left calf contusion late in the second quarter, causing him to miss the rest of the game. DeJuan Blair pulled a muscle early in the second half with an injury that kept him on the bench for most of the third quarter. And with Gary Neal and Tiago Splitter wearing street clothes on the sideline, Gregg Popovich had to adjust with a nine-man rotation that included Chris Quinn and Steve Novak. Despite those odds, the Spurs were able to manage their numbers and still escape with a 95-88 victory over the Grizzlies.

--The Cavaliers lost a 12-point lead in the first half, then they lost the game Sunday to the Philadelphia 76ers 95-91. What they lost in between might hurt most of all. Antawn Jamison fractured his left pinky late in the third quarter of Sunday's loss when he was fouled by Jrue Holiday. Jamison walked immediately off the court and into the locker room. He left the arena with his left hand wrapped in a splint and without speaking to reporters. He is the team's leading scorer at 18.1 points, and the second-leading scorer, Mo Williams, is no longer with the team. That makes Ramon Sessions' 12.6 points per game the leader among the healthy bodies left on the team. The team is off today, so no update or prognosis will be coming until players reconvene for practice on Tuesday. Jamison is shooting a career-worst 42.6 percent. A fractured finger certainly isn't going to help with that.

--The Warriors and Troy Murphy on Sunday reached an agreement for a "reasonable" buyout, a team source said. The power forward was obtained with a second-round pick from New Jersey for Dan Gadzuric and Brandan Wright on Wednesday. Although the Warriors did a little posturing this week, they never intended to bring Murphy into their locker room. First, they tried to work out a deal to send Murphy and draft picks to Cleveland for Antawn Jamison at the trade deadline. After that didn't happen, they went with their backup plan of buying out the remainder of his $12 million expiring contract. Murphy is expected to sign with a contender by Tuesday's playoff-roster deadline. Boston and Miami appear to be the leaders, with New York and Orlando also in the mix.

--Los Angeles Lakers guard Kobe Bryant made a running bank shot with 5:56 remaining in the fourth quarter against the Oklahoma City Thunder to move him past Elvin Hayes for seventh place on the NBA's all-time scoring list. Bryant came in to Sunday's game with 27,303, and only needed 11 to surpass Hayes' 27,313. Next on the list is Moses Malone with 27,409 points. So far this season, Bryant has surpassed John Havlicek, Dominique Wilkins, Oscar Robertson and Hakeem Olajuwon on the league's all-time scoring list. Bryant has been complimentary of each player he has passed on the list this season while also admitting his focus isn't on total points but championships. Russell, the Boston Celtics' Hall of Fame center, won 11 NBA championships during his career. Bryant currently has won five titles.
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• NOTE: NBA betting is becoming more popular each year. This is known as one of the sports where a smart bettor who practiced proper money management can make some really huge profits. Once a bettor begins to study and understand NBA Odds, he or she can gain a better understanding of how the bookies set their numbers. The bookies set a lot of these NBA Odds with the public in mind. They know the public is going to bet the Lakers and Bulls (and other public teams) every week so there are some great situations to get good numbers by going against teams like that.

It is always best to shop around when looking for the best NBA Odds. Many different books release different numbers and NBA Odds always tend to differ at each sportsbook. If you are truly interested in finding the best NBA Odds, it is always best to have funded accounts at - at least five sportsbooks.
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*** #501 NEW YORK @ #502 ORLANDO (-7, O/U 213) ***
--------------------------------------------------
The Orlando Magic are going to find out quite a bit about their status among the Eastern Conference's elite over the next few days. If the New York Knicks' latest performance is any indication, they might be on the cusp of joining that group. The Magic begin a stretch of three games in four nights against some of the East's top contenders with Tuesday's visit from the Knicks, who bounced back from a loss to the league's worst team by beating one of the best. Dwight Howard was furious with the effort he saw after Orlando (38-22) lost to Sacramento on Wednesday, questioning the desire and dedication of some of his teammates.

The Magic responded Friday with one of their more impressive efforts, throttling Oklahoma City 111-88 behind 40 points from the two-time reigning Defensive Player of the Year. They weren't as dominant Sunday against Charlotte, but a 100-86 win had Howard considering the big picture. "We're talented enough to beat anybody," he said. "We're equipped, whatever you want to call it... to win a championship. We have to continue to play hard and be consistent with that we do. That's the only way we're going to get to where we're trying to get to." Perhaps the biggest week of the season for Orlando begins with its first look at the Knicks (30-27) since the arrival of Carmelo Anthony and Chauncey Billups.

That's followed by a game at Southeast Division-leading Miami on Thursday before a visit from Central leader Chicago on Friday. "We simply need to take it day-by-day and we need to focus on getting better every night out, no matter who we're playing," coach Stan Van Gundy said. "So (beating Charlotte) was just as big as who we're playing on Tuesday night or Thursday or Friday." Meanwhile, New York looked like a work in progress Wednesday despite beating Milwaukee 114-108 in Anthony's debut, then seemed to take a big step backward Friday with a 115-109 loss at league-worst Cleveland.

In the Knicks' first major test with their new acquisitions, they came through. Down 84-78 in Miami on Sunday with three minutes to play, New York finished with a 13-2 run and got a huge block from Amare Stoudemire in the final seconds to stun the Heat 91-86. "The bigger the game, the bigger the stage, the bigger they play," coach Mike D'Antoni said of his team's star core of Stoudemire, Anthony and Billups who gave the Knicks the lead for good with a 3-pointer with 1:01 left. Despite his excitement, D'Antoni is aware New York has plenty of work to do to become a title contender.

"This is our third game in a long process. We aren't there yet," D'Antoni said. "Right now, we're a bunch of good individuals, but to play together and play the way we need to play against good teams will take awhile." Orlando beat the Knicks 112-103 at the Amway Center on Dec. 30 behind 24 points and 18 rebounds from Howard. Stoudemire scored a game-high 30, but had just four boards as the Magic outrebounded New York 51-35.

Anthony could help the Knicks get a little revenge. The four-time All-Star averages 28.1 points versus Orlando, his most against any team other than his current club. Only the Magic attempt more 3-pointers (24.7 per game) than the Knicks (23.7). However, Orlando has made just 31.3 percent of its attempts fourth-worst in the league from beyond the arc since Jan. 28. In that same span, New York's 3-point defense (42.2 percent) has been the NBA's worst.

--ORLANDO is 29-13 against the 1rst half line (+14.7 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 53.3, OPPONENT 47.0 - (Rating = 3*)

--NEW YORK is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) as a road underdog this season.
The average score was NEW YORK 105.1, OPPONENT 105.1 - (Rating = 3*)

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Orlando by 10; O/U 205
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Orlando -10
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Orlando -8.22
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a road loss vs opponent against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite.
(83-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.3%, +51.3 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -287.7
The average score in these games was: Team 105.9, Opponent 95.8 (Average point differential = +10)

The situation's record this season is: (5-1, -3.5 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (50-6, +32.4 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (196-52, +36.4 units).

--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (NEW YORK) - revenging a road loss vs opponent against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival.
(44-14 since 1996.) (75.9%, +28.6 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 208.8
The average score in these games was: Team 104.8, Opponent 112 (Total points scored = 216.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 33 (56.9% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (29-8).

--PLAY ON - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (ORLANDO) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days.
(49-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.1%, +29.2 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 53.2, Opponent 47.6 (Average first half point differential = +5.6)

The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-12).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (115-78).
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Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call us toll-free in the office at 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” –Stan ‘The Man
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*** #503 NEW ORLEANS (NL) @ #504 TORONTO ***
--------------------------------------------
The New Orleans Hornets have struggled on the road against Western Conference opponents lately. It's been a different story when they've traveled to face teams from the East. The Hornets look to get off to a positive start to their five-game trip when they face the lowly Toronto Raptors on Tuesday night. New Orleans (35-26), battling for the fifth spot in the West, has dropped five of its last six road games against conference opponents. The Hornets, though, have gone 5-1 in their last six away from home against East foes and are 17-7 versus teams from that conference overall.

New Orleans begins this trip, its longest remaining road stretch of the season after falling 91-89 to Houston on Sunday. Playing their first game since Jan. 30 with Emeka Okafor and David West both in the lineup, the Hornets managed 34 second-half points after leading by 16 in the third quarter. Okafor was sidelined the first 10 games this month with a strained left hip, while West missed a 95-81 win at Minnesota on Friday due to a death in his family. "Thirty-four second-half points is nonsense," coach Monty Williams said. "We didn't run our offensive sets hard. We walked the ball up and looked like an old team."

The Hornets lead the West in scoring defense at 92.6 points per game, but they've scored 100 points once in twelve contests this month. The struggles of All-Star point guard Chris Paul haven't helped. He's scored 12.5 points per game, 3.6 fewer than his season average over the last eight encounters while shooting 34.4 percent from the field. Paul, who's shooting 47.0 percent on the season, went 2 of 12 and matched a season low with six points Sunday. "I couldn't make a shot," he said. "I've got to do my part." Despite missing all but one of his eight shots and scoring six points, Paul did his part in an 85-81 home win over Toronto on Jan. 17.

He recorded 11 assists to help New Orleans overcome a 12-point second-half deficit and avoid a third straight loss in the series. Meantime, The Raptors (16-44) gave up another lead, this time a 19-point first-quarter edge in a 114-96 loss to Dallas on Sunday. Without leading scorer Andrea Bargnani (flu-like symptoms), Toronto was outscored by 25 in the final 24 minutes. The Raptors have lost 20 of 23. "They were just picking us apart," said point guard Jose Calderon, who finished with 15 points, eight rebounds and eight assists. "We stopped them in the first half but in the second we couldn't stop it."

Calderon went scoreless Jan. 17 but had 13 assists and five boards. If Bargnani can't play Tuesday, the Raptors will need guard DeMar DeRozan to continue his hot streak. DeRozan is averaging 18.9 points and 51.5 percent shooting in 11 games this month, and he scored a team-best 23 in the last matchup with the Hornets. The Raptors won 98-92 on Dec. 20, 2009, in the teams' last meeting in Toronto. New Orleans will try to sweep the season series for the second time in three years.

*STAN'S FORECASTER - New Orleans by 4.5; O/U 193
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New Orleans -5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Orleans -4.80
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY ON - Road favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 42+ games.
(62-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.8%, +42.1 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -165.8
The average score in these games was: Team 105.4, Opponent 97.4 (Average point differential = +8.1)

The situation's record this season is: (17-4, +11 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (56-8, +42.2 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (107-39, +40.3 units).

--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%).
(41-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.9%, +26.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51, Opponent 48.9 (Average first half point differential = +2.1)

The situation's record this season is: (6-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-11).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (70-42).
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*** #505 DALLAS (-1, O/U 201) @ #506 PHILADELPHIA ***
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The Dallas Mavericks' deep bench has provided a major lift during the team's impressive 17-game run. The Philadelphia 76ers are also getting a significant boost from their reserves during that stretch. Dallas goes for its seventh straight victory Tuesday night when it faces a 76ers team trying to extend its longest winning streak of the season to five. During a 16-1 run that has moved them two games in front of the Los Angeles Lakers for the second spot in the Western Conference, the Mavericks (43-16) have received 49.2 points per game from their bench, which is nearly 10 more than their season average.

Top reserve Jason Terry is scoring 17.5 points per game in the last 17, while J.J. Barea (13.1 points, 4.5 assists) and Shawn Marion (12.3 points, 7.7 rebounds) are also giving coach Rick Carlisle plenty of production. The trio combined for 51 points and backup center Ian Mahinmi added 13 in Sunday's 114-96 victory at Toronto. Dirk Nowitzki made 11 of 20 shots for 31 points, but the rest of the Mavericks' starters were a combined 7 of 24 for 19 points. "I thought our bench really saved us," Nowitzki said after Dallas rallied from a 19-point first-quarter deficit. "Some nights your starting five just don't have it for whatever reason, fatigue, rhythm or whatever. Our bench was phenomenal."

That word can also be used to describe the 76ers' reserves. Philadelphia's bench, among the NBA's best with 40.1 points per game, is averaging 42.2 on 49.2 percent shooting during a 13-4 run that has the team one game back of the New York Knicks for the sixth spot in the East. Thanks to 38 combined points off the bench from Louis Williams, Thaddeus Young and rookie Evan Turner, the 76ers (30-29) erased a 12-point first-period deficit Sunday and hung on for a 95-91 victory at NBA-worst Cleveland. Philadelphia's season-best fourth straight win moved it above .500 for the first time since it was 3-2 on Nov. 6, 2009.

"Coach (Doug Collins) is right about us probably losing this game a couple months ago," said forward Elton Brand, who finished with 16 points and returned to the game after dislocating the little finger on his left hand. "We've grown a lot. The bench gave us a huge lift, gave us the chance to win." The 76ers' last five-game winning streak was Jan. 31-Feb. 9, 2010. Philadelphia, trying to post its fourth straight victory at Wells Fargo Center, will face a Mavericks team that has won four in a row and nine of 10 on the road.

Dallas recorded its sixth consecutive home win over the 76ers on Nov. 12, 99-90. With Nowitzki slowed with a sprained ankle and scoring 16 points, Barea had 19 off the bench, Terry scored 13 and backup center Brendan Haywood grabbed a season-best 17 rebounds. Young led Philadelphia with 17 points in that game. He scored a team-high 22 off the bench as the 76ers snapped a three-game skid to Dallas with a 92-81 home win Jan. 22, 2010.

--PHILADELPHIA is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 103.1, OPPONENT 93.3 - (Rating = 4*)

--DALLAS is 24-8 OVER (+15.2 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was DALLAS 100.5, OPPONENT 97.1 - (Rating = 3*)

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Philadelphia by 1; O/U 195
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Philadelphia -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Philadelphia -0.56
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (DALLAS) - an good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 100 points or more 4 straight games.
(48-18 since 1996.) (72.7%, +28.2 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 195.6
The average score in these games was: Team 100.7, Opponent 100.5 (Total points scored = 201.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 33 (50.8% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (3-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-8).

--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (DALLAS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games.
(52-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +28.9 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.2, Opponent 44.1 (Total first half points scored = 93.3)

The situation's record this season is: (8-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (38-20).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (81-60).
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*** #507 GOLDEN STATE @ #508 INDIANA (-6, O/U 215) ***
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The Indiana Pacers lost in dramatic fashion their last time out, something they also experienced in January's matchup with the Golden State Warriors. Hoping to avoid losing three straight at home for the first time this season, the Pacers will to look avenge their last-second loss versus the Warriors when the teams meet Tuesday night. Indiana (26-32) suffered a 110-108 overtime defeat versus Phoenix on Sunday its second loss in a row and fourth in six encounters since starting 7-1 under interim coach Frank Vogel. After trailing by 11 at the end of the first quarter and shooting just 34.8 percent in its 95-84 loss Friday night to Utah, the Pacers again fell behind early Sunday but erased a 15-point second-half deficit to send the game into overtime.

However, Suns forward Channing Frye made a jumper as time expired in the extra period, handing Indiana back-to-back home losses for the first time since Jan. 14-26. "We trailed, worked ourselves back into it and still didn't get it done," said point guard A.J. Price, who scored a season-high 18 points off the bench. "We've got to do a better job of getting started in the first quarter and not digging ourselves a hole." Last-second losses are nothing new for the Pacers, as Monta Ellis hit the game-winning shot with less than a second left to give Golden State a 110-108 victory on Jan. 19.

The Warriors (26-32) have taken three of four from Indiana, but they've lost three straight at Conseco Fieldhouse, and began their season high seven-game road trip with a 126-123 defeat at Minnesota on Sunday. Golden State entered All-Star weekend having won seven of nine but has struggled since the break, shooting just 40.9 percent during a three-game slide. The Warriors took a 41-32 lead into the second quarter Sunday but were outscored 35-16 in the third, and couldn't overcome a 15-point deficit over the final 12 minutes. Golden State's chances for its first playoff appearance in four seasons may be fading.

"It's a seven-game road trip that's going to more or less make or break the rest of our season and this is not the way to start," said forward David Lee, who recorded 20 points and 10 rebounds for the second consecutive contest. After averaging 9.7 points over his previous three games, Stephen Curry matched a season high with five 3-pointers against the Timberwolves and scored 33 points. He also totaled a career best 11 rebounds. Ellis, who ranks among the top 10 in the NBA with 24.9 points per game, is averaging just 17.0 on 34.5 percent shooting during his team's skid.

Ellis, though, could bounce back Tuesday, as he's averaged 40.5 points in his last two meetings with the Pacers, including a 45-point effort, one short of his career high Nov. 30, 2009, in a 126-107 win. Indiana's Danny Granger, who scored 25 against the Suns has also experienced success in the series, averaging 23.0 points in his career, his second-highest mark against any opponent. He's averaged 32.8 in the last six matchups. The Pacers, clinging to the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, haven't lost three straight at home since Feb. 9-25, 2010. "This is the NBA," said center Jeff Foster. "We've got to bounce back and play better Tuesday against Golden State."

--INDIANA is 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.
The average score was INDIANA 53.8, OPPONENT 54.0 - (Rating = 3*)

--GOLDEN STATE is 11-0 UNDER (+11.0 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 97.5, OPPONENT 97.5 - (Rating = 4*)

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Indiana by 4.5; O/U 210
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Indiana -6
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Indiana -5.36
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY ON - Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (INDIANA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team.
(100-19 since 1996.) (84.0%, +53.8 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -242.9
The average score in these games was: Team 104.8, Opponent 96.9 (Average point differential = +8)

The situation's record this season is: (2-1, -0.7 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-6, +15 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (55-13, +24.1 units).

--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANA) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points.
(36-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.3%, +25 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.9, Opponent 52.4 (Average first half point differential = +0.5)

The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-3).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (62-42).

--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (INDIANA) - off a close home loss by 3 points or less, with a losing record.
(35-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.1%, +22.9 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 109.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 55.1, Opponent 60.3 (Total first half points scored = 115.4)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-8).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (39-14).
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*** #509 L.A. LAKERS (-9.5, O/U 205) @ #510 MINNESOTA ***
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After stumbling into the All-Star break, the Los Angeles Lakers are once again playing like a title contender. Little suggests this will change with a game against the Minnesota Timberwolves. The surging Lakers look to win their 14th straight over the Timberwolves when they meet Tuesday night at the Target Center. Los Angeles (42-19) arrives in Minnesota after Sunday's gritty 90-87 win over Oklahoma City opened up a 4 1/2-game lead over the Thunder for third place in the Western Conference. The Lakers rallied from a 14-point, second-quarter deficit and turned up the defense after halftime, holding Oklahoma City to a season-low 31 second-half points.

Los Angeles has won four straight, including victories over Atlanta and Portland, two other possible playoff teams after going into the break riding a three-game losing streak capped by an embarrassing loss at lowly Cleveland. "The rest did the guys some good," said Kobe Bryant, who finished with 17 points Sunday to move past Elvin Hayes for seventh on the NBA's career scoring list. "It was a chance to kind of recover, regroup, and focus on the opportunity that we have ahead of ourselves." The Pacific Division-leading Lakers, now within two games of second place Dallas in the West, are playing much better offensively, averaging 102.0 points during the winning streak after averaging 87.7 during their skid.

"(We have) better focus," Pau Gasol said. "We like where we are, and we want to do what we have to do to get back to level we want to be at." A loss to the Timberwolves would certainly not fit into those plans. The Lakers haven't lost to Minnesota since falling in double overtime on March 6, 2007. They've won 13 straight in the series since, making this their longest current winning streak over any opponent. Los Angeles has actually been more productive lately at the Target Center than at Staples Center, averaging 114.2 points in winning the last six in Minnesota.

The Lakers won 112-95 in Minneapolis on Nov. 19 after beating the Timberwolves 99-94 on their home court 10 days earlier. Bryant combined for 56 points in those two games, while Gasol totaled 34 points and 24 rebounds. While Los Angeles attributes its turnaround to the All-Star break, Minnesota (14-46) credits snapping a seven-game skid to a passionate team meeting. A day after a frank discussion in which players and coaches vented about their frustrating season, the Timberwolves defeated Golden State 126-123 on Sunday for their first win since Feb. 8. Kevin Love led the way, finishing with 37 points and 23 rebounds for Minnesota, which had averaged 89.6 points during its skid.

"This was almost a must-win for us," said Love, who has four 30-point, 20-rebound games this season. "We felt like we haven't been playing well the past five or six games, and we had to come out and win this one. So we're just happy we did." Love extended his NBA-leading double-double streak to 46 games, and is now within five of matching Moses Malone's record for consecutive double-doubles set from Dec. 29, 1978-Oct. 12, 1979. Love's run began after he was held scoreless on 0-of-7 shooting and grabbed seven rebounds against the Lakers on Nov. 19. He had 23 points and 24 boards in the first meeting.

--MINNESOTA is 3-20 ATS (-19.0 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 96.3, OPPONENT 111.3 - (Rating = 4*)

--LA LAKERS are 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 101.4, OPPONENT 90.2 - (Rating = 4*)

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Lakers by 9; O/U 204
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Lakers -8
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Lakers -8.37
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY ON - Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 4 straight games making >=47% of their shots.
(29-1 since 1996.) (96.7%, +27.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -165
The average score in these games was: Team 107.4, Opponent 95.2 (Average point differential = +12.2)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-0, +13 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-0, +19 units).

--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - average shooting team (43.5-45.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +5.5 reb/game).
(24-3 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.9%, +20.7 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (26-1 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 7.4
The average score in these games was: Team 103.4, Opponent 90.1 (Average point differential = +13.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 12 (44.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-2).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (32-11).

--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (MINNESOTA) - in a game involving two good FT shooting teams (76-79%) after 42+ games, after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less.
(26-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.9%, +20.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 105.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 57.9, Opponent 55.3 (Total first half points scored = 113.2)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (35-12).

--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (LA LAKERS) - after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less against opponent after scoring 105 points or more.
(49-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.1%, +29.2 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.3, Opponent 48.7 (Average first half point differential = +0.6)

The situation's record this season is: (6-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (34-11).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (88-53).
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*** #511 SAN ANTONIO @ #512 MEMPHIS (-1.5, O/U 195) ***
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The San Antonio Spurs registered a franchise record-tying 21st consecutive home win in their last game thanks in large part to Manu Ginobili's impressive effort. That victory, though, came at a price. With three-time All Star Tony Parker expected to miss two to four weeks, the Spurs will try for their 19th win in 23 games against the Memphis Grizzlies when the teams conclude a home-and-home set Tuesday night at FedExForum. Parker, averaging 17.1 points and a team-best 6.6 assists, strained his left calf in the second quarter of Sunday night's 95-88 win against Memphis.

San Antonio went 16-10 last season while Parker missed time with multiple injuries, but he had started all 59 games this season. Ginobili stepped up and recorded 18 of his season-best 35 points in the fourth quarter Sunday, helping the NBA-leading Spurs (49-10) win their third straight since the All-Star break. Ginobili, who also had eight assists and six rebounds, knows that facing the Grizzlies on the road will be a challenge especially with Parker on the sidelines. "It's going to be even rougher," he said. "Of course, when Tony's on the court, the whole dynamic of the team changes because he is so good at breaking the first line, finding open teammates or finishing."

Despite leading by as many as 20 points Sunday, San Antonio trailed by four after three quarters. The Spurs, though, outscored Memphis 36-25 in the fourth and came up with key defensive stops down the stretch. "That's good focus for us," said Tim Duncan, who had 12 points, eight boards and five blocks. "That's what we need to do. As we build towards the end of the season and walk into the playoffs, that's the kind of team we want to be, especially in that fourth quarter. "So, a good lesson for us. Obviously, we don't want to put ourselves in that situation giving up a big lead and having to do that, but a great learning situation for us."

San Antonio has won seven of 10 in Memphis, but the Grizzlies (33-28) have won four straight and 12 of 14 at home and are feeling confident after Sunday's second-half effort. "We were just battling. We've been defending all year and we defended, got stops, ran out and scored," coach Lionel Hollins said. "We just played the way we play. We just did it better. Our effort was better and our energy was better. Now we just have to get smarter." Memphis, which dropped to 4-10 when scoring below 90 points, is averaging 112.7 on 52.3 percent shooting in its last three home games.

Zach Randolph continued his recent success versus the Spurs, recording his fifth double-double in six meetings with 24 points and 17 rebounds. Randolph is averaging 22.2 points and 14.6 boards over that span. Shane Battier, reacquired from Houston prior to Thursday's trade deadline, has registered five steals and three blocks in two games with the Grizzlies. "He understands how to play the game; he plays it at 100 percent ferocity all the time, ferocity with sense," Spurs coach Gregg Popovich said. "On top of that he's a character guy and a leader." A victory Tuesday for San Antonio would give the Spurs their 12th consecutive 50-win season. They would also equal their victory total from 2009-10.

--MEMPHIS is 22-7 UNDER (+14.3 Units) the 1rst half total after playing a game as an underdog this season.
The average score was MEMPHIS 49.1, OPPONENT 49.1 - (Rating = 3*)

--SAN ANTONIO is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 103.6, OPPONENT 93.8 - (Rating = 3*)

*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Antonio by 2; O/U 193
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Antonio -1.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Antonio -2.20
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY ON - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - after allowing 35 points or less in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 35 points or less in the first half last game.
(27-6 since 1996.) (81.8%, +20.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (26-7)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.2
The average score in these games was: Team 90.7, Opponent 86.1 (Average point differential = +4.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 14 (42.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).

--PLAY ON - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (MEMPHIS) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days.
(49-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.1%, +29.2 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 53.2, Opponent 47.6 (Average first half point differential = +5.6)

The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-12).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (115-78).
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*** #513 DETROIT @ #514 MILWAUKEE (NL) ***
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The Detroit Pistons have at least momentarily quieted the controversy regarding a rumored mutiny among the team's veterans. Another two players at the center of that incident could be back Tuesday night. The Pistons may have Tracy McGrady and Ben Wallace back in the lineup when they visit Milwaukee, going for their third win this season over the Bucks. Detroit (22-39) capped a tumultuous 48 hours with a 120-116 win over Utah on Saturday, scoring its most points of the season while snapping a three-game losing streak. Rodney Stuckey scored 28 points and Will Bynum converted a 3-point play that gave the Pistons the lead for good with 1:52 remaining.

The win came one night after Detroit used only six players in a 110-94 loss to Philadelphia. Several players missed at least part of the team shootaround earlier in the day and were benched. Stuckey, Chris Wilcox and Austin Daye were back in the lineup Saturday while Wallace was unavailable following the death of his brother. Tayshaun Prince (back) and McGrady (illness) also did not play Saturday. The Pistons hope to have McGrady and Wallace available Tuesday while Prince will be a game-time decision. "We've had a lot of interesting things happen to our team," coach John Kuester said. "The guys that were out there (Saturday), God bless them."

"They really worked hard tonight. This shows that no one is entitled to anything. You earn respect every day, not from the past." Richard Hamilton, who missed the shootaround, has played only one game since Jan. 10, although he said he met with Kuester recently in an effort to repair their relationship. One of the players who has benefited from the troubles has been Bynum, who played all 48 minutes against the 76ers, finishing with 29 points and six assists. On Saturday, he had 11 points, eight assists and four steals. Before the last two games, he was averaging 7.5 points and 3.0 assists.

The Pistons are looking to win back-to-back games for the first time since Feb. 4-5, which included an 89-78 win at Milwaukee in the second game. The Bucks (22-36) are trying to avoid losing their third straight as they play the second contest in a four-game homestand. They fell 83-75 to Chicago on Saturday, scoring their fewest points of the season while shooting 38.2 percent. Luc Richard Mbah a Moute scored a season-high 16 points and Andrew Bogut had 16 boards, but the Bulls outrebounded Milwaukee 49-37 and had 18 offensive rebounds. Brandon Jennings, who is averaging 15.4 points, was held to four in the loss, shooting 2 of 6.

He also had only two assists with three turnovers and did not play in the fourth quarter. "There's a lot of things he needs to do," coach Scott Skiles said of the second-year point guard, who is averaging 4.8 assists. "Become a better ball handler. Brandon's a young player ... This is a good learning experience for him." The Bucks have lost 10 of 13 while averaging 90.2 points. In the last four, they've shot 39.7 percent. Detroit has won both meetings against Milwaukee this season, with the Bucks averaging 83.5 points and shooting 38.9 percent.

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Milwaukee by 5; O/U 185
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Milwaukee -5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Milwaukee -5.54
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs vs the money line (DETROIT) - average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor offensive team (88-92 PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games.
(64-12 since 1996.) (84.2%, +40.6 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -194.6
The average score in these games was: Team 99.6, Opponent 91.1 (Average point differential = +8.4)

The situation's record this season is: (2-1, +0.8 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-2, +1.8 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2, +6.8 units).

--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 80 points or less.
(36-10 since 1996.) (78.3%, +25 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 93
The average first half score in these games was: Team 44.8, Opponent 44.2 (Total first half points scored = 89)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-2).
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*** #515 HOUSTON @ #516 PORTLAND (NL) ***
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The Portland Trail Blazers are finally starting to get healthy and seem to have survived a scare to their best player. Seeking a fifth consecutive home victory against the recently hot Houston Rockets, the Blazers are likely to have LaMarcus Aldridge available as they try to sweep the season series Tuesday night. Aldridge left late in the first quarter of Sunday night's 90-83 loss to Atlanta with discomfort in his left knee but returned in the second with a brace. Aldridge had averaged 31.9 points on 59.3 percent shooting and 9.0 rebounds in his last seven games before finishing with 19 points and eight boards.

"It feels OK now," he said after the game. Portland (33-26), in seventh place in the Western Conference, trailed by as many as 23 and was outscored 49-31 over the second and third quarters Sunday. Coach Nate McMillan, though, isn't concerned and knows that getting a feel for his lineup with the addition of Gerald Wallace and the returns of Marcus Camby and Brandon Roy won't happen overnight. "It doesn't surprise me that you're out of rhythm, you're out of sync in your first game," McMillan said. "It's going to take some time to get a rotation." Wallace, acquired from Charlotte on Thursday, had nine points on 4-of-12 shooting and five rebounds in his Blazers' debut.

"I was kinda nervous," said Wallace, who had 21 points, 14 rebounds, three steals and two blocks Nov. 26 against Houston while with Charlotte. "Feels like the first day of school, trying to fit in and adjust to everybody, not trying to step on any toes or whatever." Camby, who leads the team with 11.2 rebounds and 1.8 blocks per game, was held scoreless in his return after missing 16 games with a knee injury. Roy, who was sidelined for more than two months (knees), is also getting eased back into action. Roy, scoring 9.7 points per game since returning Wednesday, is averaging 27.2 in his last five meetings with the Rockets.

Portland, which has taken both matchups versus Houston this season, has won four straight at home in the series, including a 100-85 victory Jan. 2 as Aldridge had 25 points and 11 rebounds. The Rockets (30-31) used an impressive fourth-quarter comeback to record a season-best fifth straight road win Sunday night, 91-89 over New Orleans. Houston, three games behind the eighth and final playoff spot in the West, erased a 16-point deficit en route to its fourth consecutive win overall and fifth in six games. "For us to be down and fight and claw our way back, it just shows the growth of this team and how good we can be and how dangerous we can be," said center Chuck Hayes, who recorded at least 11 rebounds for the third consecutive game.

Kevin Martin led the way with 33 points, his third straight 30-point effort. He made 6 of 8 shots from 3-point range en route to a season high 45 points in a 103-100 home loss to Portland on Jan. 5. Guard Goran Dragic, acquired from Phoenix on Thursday, was held out against New Orleans with the flu and his status for this game is unknown. The Rockets haven't won six straight on the road since a 12-game run Jan. 4-March 12, 2008.

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Portland by 2.5; O/U 200.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Portland -1.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Portland -2.66
_________________________________________

• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY ON - Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - off a upset loss as a favorite against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less.
(24-1 over the last 5 seasons.) (96.0%, +22.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -165
The average score in these games was: Team 100, Opponent 91.6 (Average point differential = +8.4)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-1, +6.3 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (62-12, +35.3 units).

--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (HOUSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days.
(63-27 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.0%, +33.3 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.4, Opponent 50 (Total first half points scored = 99.4)

The situation's record this season is: (1-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (43-19).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (101-71).

 

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StatSystems Sports NCAAB Report, Tuesday 3/1/11
<hr style="color: rgb(209, 209, 225); background-color: rgb(209, 209, 225);" size="1"> STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 3/1/11
NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
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***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NCAAB *****
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When you are ready to step up an into the challenge of advanced sports handicapping, be sure to check out Stan 'The Man's ALL NEW Stat/Systems Sheets. They are loaded with power ratings, computer predictions, matchups, betting trends, systems, statistics, schedules and results. Once you have sampled my Stat/Systems Sheets, you will no longer need free picks, consensus plays, or other professional handicapping services!

Each day here in our Stat/Systems Report we will list the Top - Angles, Stats and Situational Trends for up-coming games, including all the Key - ATS, Over/Unders, Money-Line, First Half ATS Top Trends including Over/Unders, Coaches ATS & Over/Unders and Teaser Line Trends, along with all your high percentage Super Situation Systems.
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••• OHIO STATE, KANSAS, BYU HEADLINE POLL •••
---------------------------------------------
Ohio State hurdled Kansas to reclaim the No. 1 ranking in this week's ESPN/USA Today men's college basketball coaches' poll, and Brigham Young leaped four spots to third on Monday. Ohio State (17) and Kansas (14) split the 31 possible first-place votes by coaches. The latest change at the top of the poll was necessitated after Duke was upset by ACC opponent Virginia Tech on Saturday night. The Buckeyes (27-2) defeated Big Ten foes Illinois and Indiana rather easily in finding their way back to the top. Ohio State started 24-0 and spent four weeks at No. 1 earlier this season before falling to third. This is the 15th straight week that Ohio State has been ranked in the top three.

Kansas (27-2) remained second and trails Ohio State by only four poll points. The Jayhawks head into the final week of the regular season in a first-place tie with Texas in the Big 12, though Texas won the teams' lone head-to-head matchup in January. Beyond the top three, there was some eye-opening moving and shaking in the rankings underscored by St. John's and its 10-spot rise to 15th, and one-time Final Four participant George Mason joining the rankings at No. 25. Behind All-American guard Jimmer Fredette, BYU (27-2) continues to capture the nation's interest with its climb through the top 10. This week's push came via the Cougars' second victory this season over San Diego State.

Duke (25-4) fell from first to fourth and Pittsburgh (25-4), coming off Sunday's overtime loss to Louisville, actually moved up one spot to fifth. Even without senior forward Robbie Hummel (torn ACL), Purdue (24-5) continues its strong season by moving to sixth from eighth in the rankings. Notre Dame (23-5) jumped two spots to No. 7, Texas (24-5) fell three spots to eighth, San Diego State (27-2) fell five spots to ninth and Wisconsin moved from 12th to round out the top 10.

The second 10 kicks off with a Big East punch -- Louisville (22-7) at No. 11 and Syracuse (24-6) at No. 12, with the Orange squeezing the competition with an eight-spot jump. North Carolina (22-6) also made a healthy move of six spots to 13th. After the Tar Heels, it was Florida (22-6) at 14th, the Red Storm (19-9), Connecticut (21-7), Georgetown (21-8), Arizona (23-6), Villanova (21-8) and Vanderbilt (21-7). Completing the Top 25 are Utah State (26-3), Texas A&M (22-6), Kentucky (20-8), Missouri (22-7) and George Mason (25-5). In The Associated Press media poll, its 65 possible first-place votes were divided between No. 1 Ohio State (45), No. 2 Kansas (14), No. 3 BYU (five) and No. 4 Duke (one).

Stat/Systems Sports is renowned for providing the most comprehensive game information on the Internet to date. Our popular Stat/Sheets, along with our daily Stat/Systems Reports are packed with proprietary handicapping tools that benefit everyone from the beginning bettor to the most advanced self-handicapper. “Providing Unprecedented Handicapping Content is what Stat/Systems Sports is all about. So make Sure you have the Advantage you need to win this Season!

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***** TUESDAY, MARCH 1ST NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL KNOWLEDGE *****
__________________________________________________ _______________

(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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••• QUICK HITS •••
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• ALABAMA @ FLORIDA, 7:00 PM ET
-------------------------------
--ALABAMA: 10-3 ATS against conference opponents.
--FLORIDA: 4-13 ATS as a favorite.

Florida won five of last six games, Alabama nine of last 11; Tide is 4-3 on SEC road, losing by 5 at Arkansas, 4 at Vandy, 5 at Ole Miss. Gators are 2-4 as home favorite, winning home games by 6-32-4-2-1-9 points. Five of last six Florida games went over total; Bama's last three stayed under. SEC home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-12 vs spread.

• BAYLOR @ OKLAHOMA ST, 7:00 PM ET
----------------------------------
--BAYLOR: 0-6 ATS after a game where they covered the spread.
--OKLAHOMA ST: 14-5 ATS in all home games.

Oklahoma State (+6.5) lost 76-57 at Baylor Jan 22; star F Moses scored one point in only 11 minutes (fouls). Cowboys lost four of last five, are 1-3 as Big 12 home favorite- their last three home games were decided by total of nine points. Baylor lost five of its last six road games, by 15-8-7-9-18. Big 12 home favorites of 4 or less points are 8-3-1 vs spread.

• ILLINOIS @ PURDUE, 7:00 PM ET
-------------------------------
--ILLINOIS: 23-41 ATS in road games after scoring 80 points or more.
--PURDUE: 6-0 ATS in home games after a conference game.

Purdue (+2.5) won 81-70 at Illinois Feb 13, outscoring Illini 54-38 after halftime; Boilers won/covered last six games- this is Senior Day for both Moore/Johnson. Big 11 home favorites of 9 or less points are 26-15-2 vs spread. Erratic Illinois is 5-8 in last 13 games, 1-3-1 as road dog, losing away games by 2-10-3-1-4-19 points, with wins at Iowa/Minnesota.

• NC STATE @ VIRGINIA, 7:00 PM ET
---------------------------------
--NC STATE: 12-2 ATS in road games after playing a game as a home favorite.
--VIRGINIA: 58-82 ATS off a loss against a conference rival.

NC State is 3-2 in last five games, but just 1-6 on ACC road, winning at lowly Wake Forest- their losses on road are by 9-13-10-20-24-7 points. Virginia is 3-4 at home in ACC, 1-2 as ACC favorite- they scored only 52 ppg in last four games. State allowed 74+ points in last three games. ACC home teams are 3-7 in games where spread was 2 or less points.

• MISSOURI @ NEBRASKA, 8:00 PM ET
---------------------------------
--MISSOURI: 11-3 ATS off a road loss.
--NEBRASKA: 10-2 ATS in home games after a close loss by 3 points or less.

Nebraska (+11) lost 77-69 at Missouri Jan 12, its 4th loss in last five series games. Denmon had 27 (5-7 from arc) for Mizzou, which is 1-6 on Big 12 road, with only win at Iowa State. Big 12 home teams are 13-6 vs spread in games where spread was less than 4 points. Huskers are 5-2 at home in Big 12, with only losses by 20 to Kansas, 4 to K-State.

• BOSTON COLLEGE @ VIRGINIA TECH, 9:00 PM ET
--------------------------------------------
--BOSTON COLLEGE: 3-11 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread.
--VIRGINIA TECH: 10-2 ATS off a home win against a conference rival.

Huge trap game for Virginia Tech after Duke upset Saturday; Hokies are 5-6 as an ACC favorite, 4-2 at home- they lost 58-56 (-2) in Boston on Feb 5, with starting Gs going 6-25, their bench 0-7. ACC home favorites of more than 8 points are 8-15 vs spread. Eagles covered six of seven on ACC road (2-5 SU) losing away games by 1-16-16-8-2 points.

• OHIO ST @ PENN ST, 9:00 PM ET
-------------------------------
--OHIO ST: 6-0 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 3 days.
--PENN ST: 10-3 ATS after 3 consecutive conference games.

Penn State (+17) shot 55% from floor, but lost 69-66 at Ohio State Jan 15, with star G Battle 5-17 from floor, 1-10 from arc; this is Senior Day for Battle, who is from Albany and one of PSU's best-ever players. Big 11 home underdogs are 13-9 vs spread this season. Lions won six of last seven home games- their home losses are to Purdue by 15, Michigan by 3. Buckeyes lost their last two road games, at Wisconsin/Purdue.

• VANDERBILT @ KENTUCKY, 9:00 PM ET
-----------------------------------
--VANDERBILT: 7-22 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points.
--KENTUCKY: 15-5 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite.

Kentucky (-1) lost 81-77 at Vanderbilt Feb 12; Commodores hit 11-20 from arc, 20-23 from foul line. Wildcats are 3-3-1 as SEC home favorite, winning home games by 24-38-6-12-6-31-8 points. SEC home favorites of 9 or less points are 9-14-1 vs spread. Vandy won six of its last seven games- they're 3-1 as SEC underdog, and won last three away games.

• SAN DIEGO ST @ WYOMING, 10:00 PM ET
-------------------------------------
--SAN DIEGO ST: 18-9 ATS in road games.
--WYOMING: 7-1 ATS after playing a road game.

San Diego State lost five of last seven visits to Wyoming, but Aztecs are much better than usual this year, with only two losses to BYU. Aztecs are 3-2 as MWC road favorite, winning road games by 13-9-10-2-6-12 points. Wyoming is running more under interim coach Langley; they're 5-1-1 vs spread in last seven games, with none of its last five losses by more than 13 points. MWC home underdogs of 6+ points are 4-8.

••• HORIZON LEAGUE TOURNAMENT •••
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• IL-CHICAGO @ CLEVELAND ST, 7:00 PM ET
---------------------------------------
--IL-CHICAGO: 7-0 ATS after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more.
--CLEVELAND ST: 8-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or less.

Cleveland State beat Ill-Chicago twice this season, 83-59 at home (-16), 63-49 on road (-10); Vikings were +23 in turnovers, made 16-43 on arc in two games. CSU is 3-4 last seven games (1-6 vs spread)- they're 0-4 vs spread in last four home games. UIC is 4-5 as a road dog in Horizon games. Horizon League home favorites of 9+ points are 10-15 vs spread.

• LOYOLA-IL @ DETROIT, 7:00 PM ET
---------------------------------
--LOYOLA-IL: 7-23 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more.
--DETROIT: 4-17 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more.

Detroit beat Loyola twice this year, 83-71 (+5) on road, 81-71 at home (-4.5); Titans shot 50%+ in both games, made 15-29 from arc. Horizon home favorites of less than 9 points are 22-13 vs spread. Loyola lost in first tourney game last two years, by 9-14 points; they're 2-5 as a road dog in Horizon play. Detroit covered its last three games as a favorite.

• WI-GREEN BAY @ WRIGHT ST, 7:00 PM ET
--------------------------------------
--WI-GREEN BAY: 10-28 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.
--WRIGHT ST: 14-4 ATS off a home loss by 10 points or more.

Wright State beat Green Bay twice this year, but by combined total of just five points (67-64/63-61); Raiders lost four of their last five games, are 2-6 vs spread in last eight games as a favorite. Green Bay shot 50%+ in both games vs Wright; they lost six of last eight games, but covered last five. Horizon home favorites of less than 9 points are 22-13.

• YOUNGSTOWN ST @ VALPARAISO, 8:00 PM ET
----------------------------------------
--YOUNGSTOWN ST: 7-16 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog.
--VALPARAISO: 20-9 ATS after one or more consecutive overs

Valparaiso beat Youngstown twice this year, 79-55 at home (-15), 86-78 in OT (-7.5) on road; Valpo was 19-40 from line in OT win. Crusaders are 2-3 in last five games, 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven games as a home favorite. YSU is 1-6 in this event, with four of six losses by 14+ points. Horizon League home favorites of 9+ points are 10-15 vs spread.

• REST OF TUESDAY'S CARD
------------------------
--C MICHIGAN @ TOLEDO, 7:00 PM ET C MICHIGAN: 1-7 ATS after playing a home game. TOLEDO: 8-1 ATS off a home loss.
--AKRON @ OHIO U, 7:00 PM ET AKRON: 7-0 ATS after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite. OHIO U: 3-10 ATS in all home games.
--KENT ST @ BOWLING GREEN, 7:00 PM ET KENT ST: 108-79 ATS against conference opponents. BOWLING GREEN: 0-8 ATS in home games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers.
--N TEXAS @ ARK-LITTLE ROCK, 8:30 PM ET N TEXAS: 6-0 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. ARK-LITTLE ROCK: 5-14 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog.

** (TC) Denotes Time Change
____________________________

Stan 'The Man Szumera continues to make history as one of the Nation's Top Sports Gaming Analysts of all time. The Man's reputation as the ultimate Sports Insider expands by the year. His coveted early NCAA College Basketball, along with his National Basketball Association Selections have literally move the number as soon as they're released and there are few analysts in this business today who can equal his big play record over the years.
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••• NOTES & TIPS •••
--------------------
• AMERICA EAST: Vermont made its fourth NCAA appearance last season, losing 79-56 to Syracuse in the first round. The Catamounts couldn’t have drawn a worse opponent, as the school made three straight NCAA appearances from 2003-05, upsetting 4th-seeded Syracuse 60-57 in 2005 for the school’s first-ever (and only) NCAA win. Vermont is the league’s regular season champ again at 13-3. University of Hartford's Chase Family Arena will host the tournament's first, quarterfinal and semifinal rounds. This nine-school league will open play Thursday with its No. 8 and No. 9 seeds meeting. The winner advances to play Vermont on Saturday along with three other quarterfinal games. The semis are Sunday and then the conference champion will be crowned on the court of the highest remaining seed after a five-day hiatus, on Saturday, March 12 (not the only conference tourney with such a quirk in its scheduling).

• ATLANTIC SUN: Mercer is the host school, although the Bears are just the fifth-seed. East Tennessee St won last year’s tourney and this year enters as the No. 2 seed. Belmont (19-1 in league play) comes in as the No. 1 seed and the Bruins are anxious to return to the “Big Dance” after three straight appearances from 2006-08. You just may remember Belmont’s last NCAA appearance, as the 15th-seeded Bruins came within a Gerald Henderson layup with 11.8 seconds left of upsetting second-seeded Duke. Just eight teams make the conference tourney in this 11-school league and the quarterfinals are played over two days, Wednesday and Thursday. The semifinals are Friday and the championship game will be played on Saturday.

• BIG SOUTH: Eight schools in this 10-team league qualify for the tourney. Presbyterian finished 7-11 and would have qualified for the tourney but the Blue Hose (how about that nickname?) are not eligible for the conference tournament due to their transition to Division I. Replacing Presbyterian is 6-12 Gardner-Webb, which sets up an intriguing first round matchup with the Big South’s regular season champ, Coastal Carolina (16-2). The Chanticleers had won 22 straight games when it hosted Gardner-Webb on Feb 15, which came in having lost 14 of its past 16 games. However, the Runnin' Bulldogs (can’t make these nicknames up!) won 59-57 when Coastal Carolina didn’t make a single field goal in the game’s final 6:42. The first round of this tourney is hosted by the higher-seeded teams on Tuesday while semifinal action will take place at Coastal Carolina on Thursday, the league’s regular season champ. The championship will be played on Saturday at the campus of the highest remaining seed.

• HORIZON LEAGUE: Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Butler and Cleveland St all went 13-5 this year. Wisconsin-Milwaukee claimed the No. 1 seed and Butler the No. 2 seed, giving both teams a bye into this tourney’s semifinals. The first round opens Tuesday with the higher seeds owning home court advantage. Friday’s quarterfinals will be played on Milwaukee-Wisconsin’s home court, as will be Saturday’s semis. The championship game is not until next Tuesday (Mar 8), played on the home court of the higher seeded team. Butler, which almost upset Duke in last year’s national championship game, has made made four straight NCAA appearances and nine of the school’s 10 all-time appearances have come since 1997.

Wisconsin-Milwaukee has made three NCAA appearances in school history, all in a four-stretch from 2003 to 2006 which included a Sweet 16 trip in 2005 (under Bruce Pearl). Cleveland St upset Butler on its home court in the Horizon League’s 2009 championship game, earning the school’s second-ever NCAA bid. However, CSU fell to 16-17 last year before rebounding this year to go 24-7. However, the Vikings were the 13-5 team which lost the tie-breakers and will have to win twice just to reach the semis. Note that 13th-seeded Cleveland St beat 4th-seeded Wake Forest 84-69 in 2009’s NCAAs before losing to Arizona in the second round. In the school’s only prior tourney appearance in 1986 (under infamous head coach Kevin Mackey), No. 14-seed Cleveland State beat third-seeded Indiana (led by Bob Knight) in the first round, then beat St Joe’s, advancing to the Sweet 16 (one of two teams seeded 14 or lower in NCAA history to do so) before losing to Navy on David Robinson’s last-second shot.

• MISSOURI VALLEY CONFERENCE: Tournament action begins on Thursday with No. 7 Drake taking on No. 10 Bradley and No. 8 Southern Illinois taking on No. 9 Illinois St at Scottrade Center in St Louis. The quarters are set for Friday, the semis on Saturday and the conference championship game is on Sunday. Missouri St (15-3) is the No. 1 seed and is hoping to secure its seventh NCAA bid. The Bears won last year’s CollegeInsider.com Tournament but have their sights set on the NCAA this year for the first time since Steve Alford led them to the Sweet 16 back in 1999. Wichita St (14-4) is the No. 2 seed and like Missouri St, 23-7 overall, but the Shockers well remember that they were NIT-bound last year at 25-9 after losing in the finals of last year’s MVC tourney. Wichita St has made eight previous NCAA appearances, the last being a Sweet 16 appearance in 2006 but prior to that, last went ‘dancing’ in 1988.

Indiana St (12-6) is the No. 3 seed and a great story. The Sycamores went 17-15 (9-9 in the MVC) last year, the school’s first winning season since 2001 while also appearing in its first postseason (the NIT) since that same year. However, head coach Kevin McKenna quit in the off-season to go to Oregon as an assistant under Dana Altman, leaving Greg Lansing (an assistant) as the team’s new head coach. The Sycamores opened 5-6 in non-conference play but despite a five-game conference losing streak from Jan 22-Feb 5, went 12-6 in MVC play (also lost a BracketBuster game) to finish 17-13. ISU has made just three previous NCAA appearances, back-to-back ones in 2000 and 2001 plus in 1979. Larry Bird led that year’s team to the national championship game with a 33-0 record before it lost 75-64 to Magic’s Michigan St team. Northern Iowa, last year’s tourney champs who finished 30-5 after reaching the Sweet 16, are the No. 4 seed at 10-8. The Panthers have been to two straight NCAA tourneys and six all-time, with five of them coming since 2004.

• OHIO VALLEY CONFERENCE: Murray St won the regular season title at 14-4 and at 23-7 overall, has posted its 24th consecutive 20-win season. Only Syracuse and Kansas own longer streaks (that’s pretty good company). Like in the Horizon, the top-two schools in the OVC get byes into the semifinals on Friday (13-5 Morehead St is the No. 2 seed). The league’s 5th through 8th seeds play Wednesday at Municipal Auditorium in Nashville, Tennessee (entire tourney is played there) with the winners advancing to Thursday’s semis to face the 3rd (Austin Peay) and 4th (Tennessee Tech) seeds. The championship game is set for Saturday. Murray St ended a four-year NCAA drought (school owns 14 all-time NCAA appearances) with last year’s tourney title and then beat 4th-seeded Vanderbilt 66-65 before losing by two points to Butler in the second round.
________

Stan 'The Man Szumera has been a Hugely Successful Sports Handicapper for over 30 years. 'The Man has learned to see the value in examining historical and recent trends, situational matchups, injuries, travel, weather and the psychological aspect of the mindset of coaches and players, etc. Researching these and understanding their value gives Stan winning angles for his clients and is the key to his success. He maximizes the earning potential for his clients while minimizing risks!

'The Man's ability to WIN and WIN BIG has earned him a reputation as one of the sharpest of the sharps in the industry today. Szumera's Stat/Systems Sports Investment Company has served a large client base on the East Coast for over 30 years. Stan has helped create wealth for his private clients, many of them uninformed sports enthusiasts that needed help to win, while growing his business into the Sports Information Network it is today!
_________________________________

••• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS ••• - All Types - NCAAB - Displays the Highest Rated Active Super Situational Systems for Upcoming Games. This includes all situation types including ATS, money line, total, halftime, and teaser.

Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
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4* N TEXAS/ARK-LITTLE ROCK OVER 69 - (85.7%)
4* N TEXAS/ARK-LITTLE ROCK OVER 146.5 - (83.3%)
4* WI-GREEN BAY +3 - (82.4%)
4* WRIGHT ST -220 - (80.7%)
4* OHIO U -2 - (80.0%)
4* NC STATE/VIRGINIA UNDER 59 - (80.0%)
4* YOUNGSTOWN ST/VALPARAISO UNDER 67 - (79.2%)

--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 (N TEXAS) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (>=36.5%) after 15+ games, after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent.
(24-4 since 1997.) (85.7%, +19.6 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 67.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 38, Opponent 36.9 (Total first half points scored = 74.9)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-4).

--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N TEXAS) - a good team (+3.5 to +8 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15+ games, after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games.
(25-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.3%, +19.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 144.8
The average score in these games was: Team 79.4, Opponent 77.4 (Total points scored = 156.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 23 (76.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (41-20).

--PLAY ON - An underdog vs. the 1rst half line (WI-GREEN BAY) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite.
(28-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 32.7, Opponent 31.8 (Average first half point differential = +1)

The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (64-44).

--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (WI-GREEN BAY) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, with just two starters returning from last season.
(367-88 since 1997.) (80.7%, +142.1 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -255.6
The average score in these games was: Team 72.2, Opponent 64.8 (Average point differential = +7.4)

The situation's record this season is: (29-8, +7 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (101-26, +33.3 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (165-45, +51.5 units).

--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams as an underdog or pick (AKRON) - after successfully covering the spread in 7 or more consecutive games. (28-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +20.3 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (30-7 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.3
The average score in these games was: Team 73.6, Opponent 63.8 (Average point differential = +9.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 13 (35.1% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (63-36).

--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is 55.5 to 60.5 (VIRGINIA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games.
(36-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +26.1 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 58.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 26.9, Opponent 25.8 (Total first half points scored = 52.8)

The situation's record this season is: (9-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-7).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (44-16).

--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - cold team - having lost 12 or more of their last 15 games, playing only their 3rd game in a week.
(42-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.2%, +29.9 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 67.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 28.8, Opponent 34.7 (Total first half points scored = 63.5)

The situation's record this season is: (10-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-6).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (57-22).
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*** #517 ALABAMA @ #518 FLORIDA (-6, O/U 125) ***
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Florida and Alabama are the two No. 1 seeds in the upcoming SEC tournament. However, they still have much to play for ahead of a potential conference tournament final preview. With a share of the overall SEC regular-season championship on the line, the No. 14 Gators look for an eighth consecutive home victory over the Crimson Tide on Tuesday night. While both clubs sport 11-3 records in conference, SEC East champion Florida (22-6) is likely headed to the NCAA tournament for the second straight season. Alabama (19-9) won the West, but still is in a precarious position for an at-large berth and likely needs a strong finish this week and potentially a deep run in the league tournament for its first bid since 2006.

"You're at that point where you are not in the position to lose any more games," Florida coach Billy Donovan told the school's official website. "They all are a little more different so can you move to this part of the season and now move into the SEC then move into the NCAA. Now our total focus is on Alabama." Though the Crimson Tide has won 14 of 17, they have given up 80.7 points per game while going 0-7 in Gainesville since Donovan took over the Gators in 1996-97. Alabama also has dropped eight straight on the road against Top 25 teams since winning at then-No. 4 Mississippi State on Feb. 21, 2004.

Despite that history, Donovan knows his club faces a major challenge against an Alabama squad that allows a league-low 58.2 points per contest. The Crimson Tide also have incentive with coach Anthony Grant returning to Florida for the first time since spending 10 seasons assisting Donovan. "They are a really good team; one of the best teams in the league," Donovan said. "I think their record proves that; their wins prove that." However, it was Saturday's 68-63 loss at Mississippi that could prove costly for Alabama. The Crimson Tide shot 43.9 percent one game after hitting 26.2 percent of their shots in a 51-49 win over Auburn on Wednesday.

Alabama can't afford another subpar offensive effort against a Gators squad that gives up 62.3 points per contest. Florida still must pay attention to Alabama forward JaMychal Green, who averages a team-leading 16.1 points. He had 12 with 15 rebounds in an 83-74 loss in the teams' last meeting in Gainesville on Feb. 18, 2009. Gators forward Chandler Parsons averaged just 8.0 points and 3.8 rebounds in four games versus Alabama, but 13.8 and 9.4 boards his last eight contests. The 6-foot-10 senior also averages a team-leading 3.7 assists. "I can't think of anybody quite as diverse as him with his size," Grant told Alabama's official website.

"He can shoot the ball and stretch the defense and then with his ability to pass and drive the ball. He impacts the game in a lot of different ways." Though Parsons and the Gators had their six-game winning streak end with a 76-68 loss at No. 20 Kentucky on Saturday, they don't believe much needs to change in order to bounce back. "It feels like as long as we go out and play our best, everything will work out," forward Alex Tyus said. Tyus averages 8.7 points this season, but has totaled 35 with 14 rebounds the last two games versus Alabama.

--ALABAMA is 13-2 against the 1rst half line (+10.8 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ALABAMA 33.8, OPPONENT 29.7 - (Rating = 3*)

--ALABAMA is 11-1 against the 1rst half line (+9.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ALABAMA 33.4, OPPONENT 29.9 - (Rating = 4*)

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Florida by 7; O/U 127
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Florida 7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Florida -6.13
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (FLORIDA) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, in a game involving two average offensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games.
(39-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.6%, +23.6 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 126.5
The average score in these games was: Team 59.9, Opponent 59.5 (Total points scored = 119.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 29 (54.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-11).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (45-23).
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*** #523 BAYLOR @ #524 OKLAHOMA STATE (-2.5, O/U 133.5) ***
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The Baylor Bears will look to complete their first season sweep of the Oklahoma State Cowboys in nearly nine decades, as the teams meet at Gallagher-Iba Arena for a Big 12 showdown. The Bears have not swept a regular season series against Oklahoma State since 1922. They currently sit a 7-7 in Big 12 play, are coming off a statement win over rival Texas A&M and need just two more victories to seal a school-record fourth consecutive 20-win season. They last faced the Cowboys on Jan. 22nd, earning a 76-57 victory.

Oklahoma State downed Texas Tech, 70-68, on Saturday to snap a season-long four-game skid. The Cowboys currently maintain sole possession of ninth place in the Big 12 standings with a 5-9 league mark. All five of those wins have come at home. With respect to the all-time series, tonight's game marks the 67th meeting between Baylor and Oklahoma State. The Cowboys currently own a 49-17 lead and have downed the Bears seven straight times at Gallagher-Iba Arena.

As its leader went, so went Baylor on Saturday. As LaceDarius Dunn missed early shot after early shot and committed a series of head-scratching fouls, the Bears found themselves unable to pull away from 21st-ranked Texas A&M. Midway through the second half though, with Baylor clinging to a slim lead, Dunn found his groove, hitting a pair of three-pointers and four foul shots to stretch the Bears' lead to 53-43. They would eventually take the game, 58-51.

Dunn finished with 16 points, while Perry Jones III added 16 of his own, on an efficient 7-of-13 shooting. The Bears' defense also did its part, limiting Texas A&M to 34.5 percent shooting, including 21.7 percent from beyond the arc. Dunn, Baylor's all-time leading scorer (2,245), needs just 12 points to surpass Texas Tech's Andre Emmett as the Big 12's career scoring leader. He leads the Bears in scoring (20.2 ppg), and three-pointers made (84). Perry Jones III (14.2 pg) supports Dunn and ranks first among Big 12 freshman in scoring and field goal percentage (56.2 percent). Dunn and Jones III lead the Bears to a 70.5 ppg scoring clip. Defensively, the Bears allow 63.2 ppg.

Jean-Paul Olukemi proved to be the hero in Oklahoma State's victory over Texas Tech this past Saturday. His three-point play put the Cowboys up 69-68 with 25.4 seconds remaining. After Texas Tech's Mike Singletary traveled with eight seconds to play, Olukemi put the game on ice, hitting one of two free throws. He finished with a game-high 20 points, Marshall Moses added 14 points, Reger Dowell had 13 points and Matt Pilgrim added nine points and 10 boards. The Cowboys did most of their work on the interior, as they went just 2-of-15 from beyond the arc, but outscored Texas Tech 42-20 in the paint.

Moses leads the squad on the year, averaging 14.6 ppg, while Keiton Page (13.3 ppg) and Olukemi (11.5 ppg) lend support. In all, the Cowboys score 69.1 ppg, while allowing 67.8 ppg on the defensive end. Moses also paces Oklahoma State on the glass (7.3 rpg), as it posts a plus-2 rebounding margin on the season. Expect the Cowboys to earn the victory tonight, as they should be emboldened by a recent win and a serious homecourt advantage.

--OKLAHOMA ST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 79.6, OPPONENT 66.9 - (Rating = 3*)

--BAYLOR is 15-3 UNDER (+11.7 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BAYLOR 70.3, OPPONENT 68.0 - (Rating = 3*)

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Oklahoma St by 2.5; O/U 135
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Oklahoma St -4
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Oklahoma St 0.57
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY ON - Home teams as a favorite or pick (OKLAHOMA ST) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%).
(48-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.6%, +26.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (55-14 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.5
The average score in these games was: Team 73.6, Opponent 65.3 (Average point differential = +8.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (33.8% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (5-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-9).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (72-57).

--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 (OKLAHOMA ST) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite.
(106-52 since 1997.) (67.1%, +48.8 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 63
The average first half score in these games was: Team 29.7, Opponent 29.3 (Total first half points scored = 59.1)

The situation's record this season is: (12-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (44-14).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (60-24).
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*** #525 ILLINOIS @ #526 PURDUE (-9.5, O/U 136.5) ***
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JaJuan Johnson and E'Twaun Moore won't be able to secure a Big Ten title in their final game at Mackey Arena, but thanks to the two seniors, Purdue is one of the nation's hottest teams. The sixth-ranked Boilermakers look to win their seventh straight when they face Illinois on Tuesday night in their home finale. Purdue (24-5, 13-3) remains one game behind Ohio State in the conference standings with two games remaining. On Tuesday, it'll look to at least keep pace with the Buckeyes, who will be at Penn State. "We're still in the hunt," Johnson said after a 67-47 win over Michigan State on Sunday. "We need a little help, but it can be done."

Led by Johnson and Moore, the Boilermakers have done their best to keep the Big Ten race interesting, winning six straight. In their victory at East Lansing on Sunday, Johnson had 20 points, a career-high 17 rebounds and seven blocks. Moore, who had 38 points in a win over Ohio State on Feb. 20, added 17 against the Spartans. Johnson's double-double was his second in four games. He's averaging 20.4 points and 8.1 rebounds this season and earned Big Ten player of the week honors Monday after also recording 20 points and nine boards in a 72-61 win at Indiana on Wednesday. "JaJuan Johnson is playing as well as anybody in the country," Michigan State coach Tom Izzo said.

Johnson has not only been an offensive force for Purdue, which is averaging 73.2 points the last five games, but his interior presence is limiting opponents' effectiveness, especially recently. The last three teams to face the Boilermakers have all shot lower than 40 percent from the field. Purdue is trying to sweep the season series against the Illini for a second straight year after recording an 81-70 win at Assembly Hall on Feb. 13. Johnson had 24 points and nine rebounds in that victory while Moore added 20 points. Illinois (18-11, 8-8) is looking to win consecutive games for the first time since winning its first three conference games. The Illini are coming off an 81-68 win over Iowa on Saturday, snapping a two-game losing streak.

Mike Tisdale scored 25 points, Mike Davis added 20 points and nine rebounds and Demetri McCamey had 18 points and seven assists. The three seniors combined to shoot 67.6 percent. "Everybody's been hammering us the whole season about the seniors not stepping up," Davis said. "We took it as a challenge to come out and play well... We wanted to step up and shut people up." After a disappointing stretch, McCamey has been playing much better recently, averaging 16.5 points the last four games. Over the previous six games, he averaged 8.7 points while shooting 29.3 percent, capped by a 1-for-10 outing from the floor in the loss to Purdue.

The Illini, who finish the regular season Saturday against Indiana, are trying to win their final two games and then use good showing in the Big Ten tournament to boost their chances for the NCAA tournament. "We've got to make our legacy in March," McCamey said. Illinois, however, has lost four straight to Purdue and three of its last four visits to West Lafayette. McCamey has been held to a combined 10 points in the last two games between the teams.

--PURDUE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all home games this season.
The average score was PURDUE 77.3, OPPONENT 58.3 - (Rating = 3*)

--ILLINOIS is 12-1 against the 1rst half line (+10.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% this season.
The average score was ILLINOIS 36.7, OPPONENT 30.5 - (Rating = 5*)

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Purdue by 11; O/U 135.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Purdue -11
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Purdue -9.36
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 (ILLINOIS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival.
(29-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.4%, +20.2 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 62.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 29.3, Opponent 30.8 (Total first half points scored = 60.1)

The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (41-28).

--PLAY AGAINST - Any team (ILLINOIS) - revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a huge upset win by 20 points or more as an underdog.
(32-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.0%, +27.5 units. Rating = 3*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +114.1
The average score in these games was: Team 70, Opponent 63.7 (Average point differential = +6.3)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0, +2.8 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-6, +6.3 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (72-48, +15.2 units).
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*** #531 MISSOURI @ #532 NEBRASKA (-1, O/U NA) ***
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Missouri wasn't overwhelmed by a quick start from its last opponent, but it still lost another road game. The Tigers face another challenge from a tough home team as they try again to pick up a rare victory outside of Columbia on Tuesday night. The No. 22 Tigers look to avoid back-to-back losses when they face Nebraska in the Cornhuskers' final Big 12 game at the Devaney Sports Center. Riding a four-game winning streak and with a chance to take a two-game lead over fifth-place Kansas State in the race for a first-round conference tournament bye, Missouri (22-7, 8-6) lost 80-70 to the Wildcats on Saturday.

The Tigers were down by just three at halftime after trailing 13-2 in the opening 3:35. Missouri, though, was outscored 9-0 after Michael Dixon's 3-pointer made it 60-all with 6:16 left. "They made plays down the stretch," said junior guard Mike Denmon, who scored the Tigers' last 10 points to finish with 22. "We had a lot of mental mistakes as a team. We did a lot of things that you can't do on the road." Missouri is 1-6 on the road in league play, the lone victory coming by a 76-70 score over last-place Iowa State on Feb. 19. Missouri is averaging 75.0 points in Big 12 road games compared to 83.0 at home in conference.

The Tigers are forcing 12.6 turnovers per game in Big 12 road contests, 7.0 fewer than at Mizzou Arena. Missouri will look for a better effort in its final road game of the season as Nebraska (18-10, 6-8) plays at home for the last time as a member of the Big 12. The Huskers are looking for their first NCAA tournament berth since 1998 before moving to the Big Ten next season, but they likely squandered any hope of getting one with an 83-82 overtime road loss to the Cyclones on Saturday. Senior guard Lance Jeter set career highs with 27 points and five 3-pointers, but Nebraska dropped its second straight following a 3-0 stretch that was capped by a victory over then-No. 3 Texas on Feb. 19.

"Everyone wants the season to get over with so everyone knows what's going to happen," coach Doc Sadler said. "As crazy as this sounds, there are two games left for a lot of teams, and both of those are huge. "Obviously, we were disappointed Saturday, but it doesn't end our season." Nebraska is 16-2 in Lincoln, including 5-2 in conference. Before closing the regular season against Colorado on Saturday, the Huskers will look to avenge a 77-69 loss at Missouri on Jan. 12 that ended their 11-game winning streak.

Denmon scored a career high-tying 27 points in that matchup while teammate Ricardo Ratliffe added 12 points, seven rebounds and four blocks. Ratliffe, though, had just two points and one rebound in 12 foul-plagued minutes Saturday. Nebraska center Jorge Brian Diaz stepped up with a season-high 18 points and 11 boards. Denmon scored a then-career-high 24 points and Laurence Bowers added 12 off the bench in Missouri's last game in Lincoln, a 74-59 Tigers victory Feb. 20, 2010. Missouri leads the all-time series 126-92.

--NEBRASKA is 31-11 ATS (+18.9 Units) at home when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997.
The average score was NEBRASKA 69.7, OPPONENT 63.1 - (Rating = 3*)

--NEBRASKA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival since 1997.
The average score was NEBRASKA 74.5, OPPONENT 66.2 - (Rating = 2*)

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Nebraska by 1; O/U 143
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Missouri -1
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Nebraska -1.51
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY ON - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEBRASKA) - excellent team - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% on the season, after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better.
(47-25 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.3%, +19.5 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (48-26 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.6
The average score in these games was: Team 72.5, Opponent 68.8 (Average point differential = +3.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (32.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (5-9).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-19).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (82-78).
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*** #533 BOSTON COLLEGE @ #534 VIRGINIA TECH (-9, O/U 135.5) ***
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Coming off a statement victory of top-ranked Duke, the Virginia Tech Hokies will look to capitalize on the momentum, as they welcome the Boston College Eagles to Cassell Coliseum for an Atlantic Coast Conference showdown. Boston College is coming off a 63-44 victory at Virginia. The win snapped a two-game losing streak and evened the Eagles' ACC mark at 7-7. They are just 2-5 in league road tilts thus far. Virginia Tech is surging behind two straight victories, including a 64-60 triumph over Duke this past Saturday. The Hokies have compiled a 9-5 ACC record, which includes a 6-1 clip in league home games. With respect to the all-time series, tonight's matchup marks the 20th meeting between Boston College and Virginia Tech. The Eagles currently hold a 12-7 lead, which includes a 58-56 win on Feb. 5th of this year.

Junior Reggie Jackson and senior Cori Raji led Boston College to victory on Saturday. Jackson scored five of his game-high 25 points during a crucial 10-0 first half run, which helped the Eagles take a 31-28 lead into the break. Jackson then passed the torch to Raji, who scored 10 of his 17 points during a 16-4 Eagles stretch to open the second half. He also grabbed a team-high eight boards on the day. Forward Joe Trapani added 12 points on 4-of-9 shooting, as the Eagles hit 51.1 percent of their field goal attempts.

Defensively, Boston College limited Virginia to just 16 second half points on 6-of-24 shooting, including an 0-of-7 performance from beyond the arc. Jackson continues to be the offensive catalyst, as he paces the squad in scoring (18.4 ppg), assists (124) and three-pointers made (59). Trapani proves himself a jack-of-all- trades, master of most, big man, as he ranks second on the team in scoring (14.6 ppg), while pulling down a team-high 7.5 rpg and hitting 44 three- pointers thus far. Raji adds 12.2 ppg and 6.5 rpg, as the Eagles score 71.5 ppg, while allowing 69.3 ppg on the other end.

Virginia Tech utilized a 17-7 game-closing run to down Duke on Saturday, halting the Blue Devils' seven game win streak in the process. A lack of offense had the Hokies in dire straits as the second half wore on. They managed just two buckets over an eight minute span to trail 53-47 with 7:44 remaining, but came to life, reeling off an impressive run to climb back into the game. Perhaps the biggest shot during that span came from Malcolm Delaney, who drained a three-pointer from the right wing with 2:01 remaining, giving the Hokies a 62-57 lead. Jeff Allen has a sensational night for the victors, as he poured in 18 points on 7-of-18 shooting to go with 15 boards.

Erick Green and Terrell Bell each added 12 points, while Delaney and Victor Davilla each had 11 points, as all five Virginia Tech starters reached double figures. Delaney paces the Hokies on the year with 18.8 ppg and 68 three-pointers. Allen is averaging a double-double with 14 ppg and 10.5 rpg, as VT scores 71.9 ppg and plays solid defense, to the tune of 62.4 ppg allowed. Bolstered by a monumental victory and an intimidating homecourt environment, look for the Hokies to earn the victory tonight.

--BOSTON COLLEGE is 12-1 against the 1rst half line (+10.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
The average score was BOSTON COLLEGE 33.0, OPPONENT 30.7 - (Rating = 5*)

--BOSTON COLLEGE is 12-2 against the 1rst half line (+9.8 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season.
The average score was BOSTON COLLEGE 32.9, OPPONENT 31.7 - (Rating = 3*)

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Virginia Tech by 8.5; O/U 139
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Virginia Tech -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Virginia Tech -8.37
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY ON - Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (VIRGINIA TECH) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season.
(356-77 since 1997.) (82.2%, +116.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -311
The average score in these games was: Team 73.6, Opponent 65.1 (Average point differential = +8.5)

The situation's record this season is: (5-1, +2.5 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (78-13, +37.5 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (135-33, +31.4 units).

--PLAY OVER - Home teams against the total (VIRGINIA TECH) - off a home win against a conference rival against opponent off an upset win by 15 points or more as a road underdog.
(32-7 since 1997.) (82.1%, +24.3 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 140
The average score in these games was: Team 77, Opponent 75.5 (Total points scored = 152.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 22 (55% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
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*** #535 OHIO STATE (-6.5, O/U 130.5) @ #536 PENN STATE ***
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Back at No. 1 in the AP poll, Ohio State's focus for its next game is on winning the Big Ten title. Doing so might not be easy, considering the result of the Buckeyes' last meeting with Penn State. The Buckeyes can secure at least a share of the conference crown with a 15th straight win over the Nittany Lions on Tuesday night at the Bryce Jordan Center. Ohio State (27-2, 14-2) replaced Duke atop the rankings after winning twice last week. The Buckeyes were No. 1 for four weeks before a loss to Wisconsin on Feb. 12 led to them relinquishing the top spot. "I tell our team all the time we want to be No. 1 at the end of the season," coach Thad Matta said.

"We want to be playing our best basketball in March. Moving to No. 1 is a tribute to how hard our guys have worked all year. We appreciate the recognition and our guys certainly deserve it." Ohio State defeated Illinois 89-70 last Tuesday and routed Indiana 82-61 on Sunday. Freshman Deshaun Thomas scored 22 points while William Buford added 15. The Buckeyes won both their games last week despite a pair of subpar efforts from leading scorer Jared Sullinger. The freshman big man, averaging 17.4 points, was limited by early foul trouble against the Hoosiers and had five points in 12 minutes. He failed to make a field goal for the first time in his college career.

That followed a 12-point effort versus the Illini. Sullinger has scored 12 or fewer points in three of his last four games. Ohio State leads the conference by one game over Purdue. The Buckeyes can clinch at least a share of the title with a win Tuesday or a Boilermakers loss to Illinois that evening. It would be their second straight conference championship and fourth in six years. "It's big for us; everyone wants a ring," senior David Lighty said. "So hanging another banner up would be great." Although the Buckeyes have won five straight on the road over Penn State and 14 consecutive overall matchups, they have lost their last two games outside of Columbus. Penn State (15-12, 8-8) has also knocked off three ranked teams at home this season.

In addition, the Lions nearly picked up their first road victory of the season over a Top 25 foe at Ohio State's expense Jan. 15, falling just short in a 69-66 loss. Sullinger completed a three-point play with 13.2 seconds left to lift the Buckeyes. They've got four seniors and obviously with Talor Battle, one of the best guards in the league," said Matta, whose team faces a quick turnaround. "Obviously, with the game here (on Sunday afternoon) it's going to be a tremendous challenge for us." With Sullinger struggling recently, Ohio State could have another fight on its hands against Penn State, winner of three of four. The Lions defeated Northwestern 66-52 on Thursday. Penn State shot a season-high 56.5 percent and got 20 points from Jeff Brooks.

That helped the Lions overcome a poor shooting game from Battle, who was 5 of 12 from the field and 1 of 6 from 3-point range for 13 points, 7.5 below his conference-leading average. "We're trying to build our (NCAA tournament) resume, just like a lot of other teams are trying to build their resumes," Penn State coach Ed DeChellis said. "We have to put our best foot forward and try to continue to win games, and the next one just happens to be Ohio State." Pulling off the upset Tuesday might be difficult without a strong game from Battle, who also struggled against the Buckeyes in January, going 5 of 17 from the floor and 1 of 10 from beyond the arc. Battle, however, has been outstanding at home recently, averaging 24.8 points and shooting 44.4 percent from 3-point range in his last six at the Bryce Jordan Center.

--OHIO ST is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OHIO ST 70.9, OPPONENT 56.2 - (Rating = 3*)

--OHIO ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OHIO ST 80.4, OPPONENT 66.2 - (Rating = 3*)

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Ohio St by 8; O/U 131.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Ohio St -6
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Ohio St -10.40
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 (OHIO ST) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games.
(95-42 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.3%, +48.8 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 63.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 31, Opponent 30.4 (Total first half points scored = 61.4)

The situation's record this season is: (29-19).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (61-30).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (111-78).
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*** #537 VANDERBILT @ #538 KENTUCKY (-7.5, O/U 147) ***
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Kentucky believed it should have won at Vanderbilt earlier this month. Based on their recent history at home overall and against the Commodores, the Wildcats should be confident heading into the rematch. The No. 20 Wildcats look to extend their home winning streak to 34 games with a fourth consecutive victory at Rupp Arena over the No. 21 Commodores in Tuesday night's SEC contest. Kentucky (20-8, 8-6) shot 46.7 percent and limited talented Vanderbilt forward Jeffery Taylor to four points, but couldn't stop SEC leading scorer John Jenkins from scoring a season-high 32 in an 81-77 loss to the then-No. 23 Commodores on Feb. 12.

"They played good and we played good," Kentucky coach John Calipari told the school's official website. "They're playing better than we did when we were there." Since then, Kentucky has won three of four and has a chance to move into a second-place tie with Vanderbilt (21-7, 9-5) in the SEC East as both schools try to claim a bye into the conference tournament quarterfinals. "We definitely want to beat them," Kentucky forward Josh Harrellson said. "We feel like we owe them something because they beat us down there. Hopefully we can come back and get a 'W' at our house."

The way the Wildcats have dominated at home of late, that's very much possible. Though the Commodores have won six of seven overall and three straight on the road, they have not won at Rupp since Jan. 20, 2007. Kentucky has not lost a home game since falling 90-85 to Georgia on March 4, 2009. In order to further both streaks, the Wildcats likely have to stop Jenkins (19.5 points per game). "He's a great player," Kentucky's leading scorer Brandon Knight said. Though the sophomore guard shined against the Wildcats earlier this month, he's totaled 28 points the last two games overall and was held to 10 in an 85-72 loss at Kentucky on Jan. 30, 2010.

Knight, meanwhile, scored 20 points at Vanderbilt and averaged 19.6 the last five games. The freshman had 16 points with six assists in a 76-68 win over No. 14 Florida on Saturday. His backcourt mate Darius Miller posted a career-high 24 in that contest. Miller is averaging 10.9 points this season but 18.0 on 53.2 percent shooting the last four games. "I think he's one of the most complete players in the league," Florida coach Billy Donovan said of Miller. "I think the biggest difference for him from earlier in his career to now is he's really improved his shooting and now when you press up on him, he can go by you."

Miller, however, has totaled 19 points in five games versus Vanderbilt, shooting 7 for 24 (29.2 percent). The Commodores could need Taylor (14.5 ppg) to put together consecutive strong games if they are to be competitive in this contest. Over the last five games, Taylor has scored 20 points twice including Saturday's 90-69 rout of LSU, but been held under 10 in each of the other three. "It was nice that everything came together and I had a good game," Taylor said of his last contest. The junior has totaled 25 points in two games at Kentucky.

--VANDERBILT is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread since 1997.
The average score was VANDERBILT 69.2, OPPONENT 75.3 - (Rating = 3*)

--VANDERBILT is 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VANDERBILT 78.7, OPPONENT 75.4 - (Rating = 4*)

*STAN'S FORECASTER - Kentucky by 6.5; O/U 147
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Kentucky -7
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Kentucky -6.53
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY ON - Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (KENTUCKY) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season.
(356-77 since 1997.) (82.2%, +116.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -311
The average score in these games was: Team 73.6, Opponent 65.1 (Average point differential = +8.5)

The situation's record this season is: (5-1, +2.5 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (78-13, +37.5 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (135-33, +31.4 units).

--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 (KENTUCKY) - poor pressure defensive team - forcing <=14 turnovers/game, after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers.
(36-11 since 1997.) (76.6%, +23.9 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 67.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 33.4, Opponent 30.4 (Total first half points scored = 63.8)

The situation's record this season is: (8-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (31-9).

--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (VANDERBILT) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (>=36.5%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game).
(110-56 since 1997.) (66.3%, +48.4 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 144.2
The average score in these games was: Team 74.6, Opponent 74.6 (Total points scored = 149.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 84 (50% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (12-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (32-14).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (58-30).
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*** #539 SAN DIEGO STATE (-12, O/U 138) @ #540 WYOMING ***
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After suffering a disheartening loss in one of the most highly anticipated games in the program's history, San Diego State coach Steve Fisher is confident his team will respond in a positive manner. He has good reason to be, considering the Aztecs bounced back from their only other loss this season with an emphatic victory over Wyoming. Ninth-ranked San Diego State again looks to rebound with a win over the Cowboys when they meet Tuesday night in Laramie. The Aztecs (27-2, 12-2 Mountain West) had been looking forward to Saturday's rematch with then-No. 7 BYU ever since the Cougars ended their season-opening 20-game winning streak Jan. 26.

In the first meeting, San Diego State had no answer for Jimmer Fredette, as the BYU star scored 43 points to help hand the Aztecs a 71-58 loss. San Diego State did a bit better in the rematch, limiting Fredette to 18 fewer points, but still ended up losing 80-67. "They were the better team," Fisher said of the Cougars. "No excuses. They made plays. They made shots." San Diego State struggled with its perimeter defense, allowing BYU to make 14 of 24 3-point shots as it yielded its highest point total of the season, 20.6 more than its conference leading average.

The Aztecs also struggled to get in gear offensively, shooting 39.7 percent and finishing with 14 assists to 11 turnovers. Kawhi Leonard had team highs of 17 points and 13 rebounds for his sixth double-double in seven games. "We have got to move forward and just try to stay focused," said senior Billy White, who had 10 points. The loss dropped the Aztecs three spots in the rankings, but that's not a major concern with the conference and NCAA tournaments looming. "As disappointed as we are, we know there is a future for us," Fisher said. "The test for us, as is every losing team, is how well you respond. But the character we have got, I feel strongly that we will compete hard in our next game."

The Aztecs have already proved they can bounce back from a loss to BYU with a win over Wyoming (10-18, 3-11). Three days after its first defeat, San Diego State beat the Cowboys 96-57, its most lopsided win over a Division I team this season. The game was never close, as the Aztecs raced out to a 14-0 lead and led by 32 at the half. San Diego State posted a season high in points despite getting only two points apiece from two of their three leading scorers, Leonard and Malcom Thomas. Sophomore Chase Tapley led the way with a career-best 24 points, while sophomore James Rahon added 14 off the bench for San Diego State, which made a school-record 17 3-pointers on 33 attempts.

The Aztecs were just as impressive defensively, limiting the Cowboys to a season-low 29.7 percent shooting. Wyoming, loser of 16 straight against ranked opponents, is coming off a 90-77 loss to UNLV on Saturday, its 10th defeat in 12 games. Amath M'Baye led the Cowboys with 24 points on 10-of-18 shooting and Desmar Jackson added 19 on 5 of 8 from the field, but the rest of the team scored 34 and shot 28.8 percent (13 of 45). Jackson, Wyoming's leading scorer at 14.8 points, scored a team-high 19 at San Diego State in January.

--WYOMING is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was WYOMING 30.0, OPPONENT 25.1 - (Rating = 4*)

--SAN DIEGO ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds this season.
The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 81.0, OPPONENT 58.4 - (Rating = 4*)

*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Diego St by 15.5; O/U 128.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Diego St -14
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Diego St -12.96
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• BETTING SYSTEM: PLAY ON - A home team vs. the 1rst half line (WYOMING) - a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG), after allowing 85 points or more.
(25-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.1%, +17.3 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.1, Opponent 28.2 (Average first half point differential = +1.9)

The situation's record this season is: (3-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-6).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (45-25).

--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 (SAN DIEGO ST) - after allowing 80 points or more against opponent after allowing 90 points or more.
(67-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.3%, +42.8 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 63.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 29.8, Opponent 30 (Total first half points scored = 59.8)

The situation's record this season is: (3-6).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (37-11).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (80-48).

--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (SAN DIEGO ST) - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more.
(79-37 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.1%, +38.3 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (16-104 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 13.3
The average score in these games was: Team 64, Opponent 74 (Average point differential = -10)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 46 (38.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (13-5).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (41-23).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (206-148).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

vietussports

CBB

521 Aron +1.5

Pen st +6.5



NBA

ORL -7

Indy -5.5

Mem -1.5

DAL -1.5

MIN +9

 

[49ers4life]

The owad lives win again yea baby!!! Anybody have tonites plays?@)

 

[dough]

anyone heard from garden --ppp has some big plays 2-nite

 

[skyjake]

jon ryan 25* massacre--vir tech


he also has another 25* titan if someone would help out

thx

matches owad....any good?

btw...guy asks for owad everyday...I've never paid attention

Is he worth folloing?

thx

 

[wagner13454]

dr bob anyone?

 

[dough]

skyjake ---owad is 33-9 on owad play
8-0 on double guarantee
9hes hot right now who knows when it will stop)

 

[mojohnny2]

Thanks for the Info dough!

 

[jageshpatel]

n e one see budin out there?

 

[skyjake]

skyjake ---owad is 33-9 on owad play
8-0 on double guarantee
9hes hot right now who knows when it will stop)

thx...so the game he is hot on is psu?

other games are just there

correct?

makes sense..ohio st looks like sucker bet

 

[Larry1]

any of the pick nation crew or sammy p. nhl? thanks..

 

[skyjake]

Thanks for the Info dough!

did i miss something?

never mind..u changed it..lol/

 

[dough]

yes penn st is play

 

[kutulucu]

Any johnnydsports? Thank you

 

[iowahawk]

anyone have the ras side today? thx